Golden Globe Predictions 2016

The Hollywood Foreign Press is as unpredictable as host Ricky Gervais, but I have an 82% correct prediction rate that could help you win your awards pool (or look really darn smart during the telecast). One prediction that I’ll get 100% correct: there will be no sweep this year. This group will spread the love across many movies.

Best Motion Picture – Drama

Prediction: Spotlight

Spoiler: Mad Max: Fury Road

Surprise: The Revenant

They’ll be tempted to stand out with an edgy pick, but bet on this collection of foreign journalists to choose a prestige film about truth in journalism

Best Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical
Prediction: The Big Short

Spoiler: Trainwreck

Surprise: The Martian

20^th Century Fox’s decision to submit The Martian in the Comedy category should backfire and lose to a film with actual humor. Don’t be shocked if Trainwreck is this year’s Hangover, which won Best Motion Picture in this category in 2010.

Best Director – Motion Picture

Prediction: Ridley Scott, The Martian

Spoiler: Tom McCarthy, Spotlight

Surprise: George Miller, Mad Max: Fury Road

This is the year to celebrate Ridley Scott.

Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama

Prediction: Leonardo DiCaprio, The Revenant

Spoiler: Bryan Cranston, Trumbo

Surprise: Anyone else would be truly shocking

You don’t get attacked by a CGI bear and lose, unless you’re in a competition with Bryan Cranston of course.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama

Prediction: Brie Larson, Room

Spoiler: Saoirse Ronan, Brooklyn

Surprise: Alicia Vikander, The Danish Girl

Give Brie the edge for performing in this year’s most somber movie (Room) and funniest (Trainwreck). The Carol girls should cancel each other out.

Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Comedy or Musical
Prediction: Christian Bale, The Big Short

Spoiler: Matt Damon, The Martian

Surprise: Steve Carell, The Big Short

Damon is in every scene of The Martian. That said, Christian Bale is more memorable.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Comedy 

Prediction: Amy Schumer, Trainwreck

Spoiler: Jennifer Lawrence, Joy

Surprise: Lily Tomlin, Grandma

Truly the comedian of the year, Amy should win and everyone knows Jennifer Lawrence wants her to win as well.

Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture

Prediction: Mark Rylance, Bridge of Spies

Spoiler: Sylvester Stallone, Creed

Surprise: Paul Dano, Love & Mercy

I predict Oscar will be in Stallone’s corner, but I’m betting Mark Rylance’s captivating character edges Rocky out at the Globes.

Best Supporting Actress in a Motion Picture

Prediction: Alicia Vikander, Ex Machina

Spoiler: Helen Mirren, Trumbo

Surprise: Jennifer Jason Leigh, The Hateful Eight

A tough category, but this is their best chance to pick an edgy choice. Alicia’s performance in The Danish Girl gives her an edge of the more predictable choice of Helen Mirren.

Best Screenplay – Motion Picture
Prediction: Tom McCarthy, Spotlight

Spoiler: Adam McKay, The Big Short

Surprise: Emma Donoghue, Room

Best Original Score

Prediction: Ennio Morricone, The Hateful Eight

Spoiler: Carter Burwell, Carol

Surprise: Ryuichi Sakamoto Alva Noto, The Revenant

Best Original Song

Prediction: One Kind of Love, Love & Mercy

Spoiler: See You Again, Furious 7

Surprise: Love Me Like You Do, Fifty Shades of Grey

Best Animated Feature Film

Prediction: Inside Out

Spoiler: Anomalisa

Surprise: Shaun the Sheep Movie

Best Motion Picture – Foreign Language 

Prediction: Son of Saul

Spoiler: Mustang

Surprise: The Club