In a normal year, Academy Award nominations would be this week. But with the Oscars show moving to April due to COVID-19, the nominations will be announced on March 15, 2021. Also, new this year, any film that had planned a theatrical release will qualify whether they played in theaters or not. What does this mean to you? It means a lot of quality films streaming that are worth screaming about.
What else does it mean? Well, the race for Best Picture is tightening. Here's how to find the frontrunners (in no particular order):
The 12 Best Picture Frontrunners:
The Trial of the Chicago 7 (Netflix)
Despite my feeling that this is just an Aaron Sorkin lawyer TV movie, Chicago 7 is likely to gain nods for Best Picture, Director, Screenwriter, Supporting Actor (Sacha Baron Cohen, Mark Rylance), and more. It doesn't hurt that it's a true story about a riot-case court trial that is as relevant today as it was in 1969. The story follows an infamous trial of seven charged with conspiracy arising from counterculture protests.
Sound of Metal (Amazon Prime)
Sound is my favorite 2020 movie and the film I'd most likely see again in a theater one day. It follows the story of a punk-metal drummer who is losing his hearing. Writer-Director Darius Marder (The Place Beyond The Pines) and actor Riz Ahmed (Nightcrawler) don't miss a beat. It's finally getting noticed and is a frontrunner for Best Picture, Director, Screenplay, Actor, Supporting Actress (Olivia Cooke), Supporting Actor (Paul Raci), and Best Sound (which it will win).
Da 5 Bloods (Netflix)
If ever there was a year to reward Spike Lee for Best Director or Film, this is it. Delroy Lindo plays one of four African American vets that return to Vietnam seeking the remains of their fallen squad leader and the fortune he helped them hide. It's one of Lee's best and perhaps one of the best original Netflix films to date.
I'm worried that its summer release will keep it off of the radar of voters by March, but Spike Lee's latest joint is still on track for nominations for Best Picture, Actor (Lindo), and Supporting Actor (Chadwick Boseman). If Netflix doesn't spend all its time promoting too many films, it may appear in the Best Directing, Screenplay, and other categories.
One Night in Miami (Amazon Prime)
Muhammad Ali, Jim Brown, Sam Cooke, and Malcolm X walk into a bar... and make quite a case for what-if fiction. Best Supporting Actress winner Regina King, and director of this film, makes sure this adaptation doesn't feel like a play on-screen, unlike this year's Ma Rainey's Black Bottom. She may get a nod for Best Director, but the film is sure to land nominations for Best Picture, Best Adapted Screenplay, and Best Supporting Actor (Leslie Odom Jr. as Cooke).
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix)
One Night in Miami (Amazon Prime)
Muhammad Ali, Jim Brown, Sam Cooke, and Malcolm X walk into a bar... and make quite a case for what-if fiction. Best Supporting Actress winner Regina King, and director of this film, makes sure this adaptation doesn't feel like a play on-screen, unlike this year's Ma Rainey's Black Bottom. She may get a nod for Best Director, but the film is sure to land nominations for Best Picture, Best Adapted Screenplay, and Best Supporting Actor (Leslie Odom Jr. as Cooke).
Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom (Netflix)
This film, based on the play of the same name by August Wilson, is really just a play on-screen and to me doesn't deserve its status as frontrunner for Best Film and Adapted Screenplay. However, it boasts top lead acting performances from Viola Davis and the late Chadwick Boseman — both are likely winners.
Mank (Netflix)
Director David Fincher (Se7en, Zodiac, The Social Network) tells the bittersweet story of fabled '30s screenwriter Herman J. Mankiewicz and the creation of Hollywood's most honored film, Citizen Kane. This black-and-white film is for cinephiles and insomniacs only, but I loved it and Amanda Seyfried's (Les Miserables, Mamma Mia) performance too. Expect a tally of nominations for Best Picture, Director, Cinematography, Original Screenplay, Actor, Supporting Actress, and more.
Soul (Disney+)
Pixar Animation Studios takes you on a journey from the streets of New York City to the Great Beyond and it's beyond great. My soul was touched by very few films in 2020. Sound of Metal, Da 5 Bloods — and this. With a category for Best Animated PIcture available for voters, not many animated films get nods for Best Picture, but this will.
Promising Young Woman (VOD, currently $19.99)
Newcomer director Emerald Fennell and actress Carey Mulligan (An Education) lead this black-comedy revenge story that is in all the top-three lists for Best Picture, Director, Screenplay, Actress, and more. It's in theaters and was recently released via Video On Demand. I'm guessing it's twenty-buck worthy, so I'll see it tonight.
News of the World (VOD, currently $19.99)
There have been twenty Westerns nominated since 1929, and this 2021 one (along with America's Dad) could make it 21. Jefferson Kyle Kidd (Tom Hanks) crosses paths with a 10-year-old girl taken by the Kiowa people. Yeee-haw!
Minari (VOD, February 26)
A Korean American family moves to an Arkansas farm in search of its own American dream. Golden Globes’ rule to exclude non-English language films from competing for Best Drama Film, relegating this to just Best Foreign Language Film, has certainly raised its chances of winning nominations for Best Picture, Director Lee Issac Chung, Actor Steven Yeun, and Supporting Actress Youn Yuh-jung.
The Father (February 26)
Despite their tall list of past nominations and wins, Anthony Hopkins and Olivia Coleman are safe bets for nominations for this empathetic film about aging and dementia. It's also a frontrunner for Best Adapted Screenplay and knocking on the top ten list for Best Picture.
Nomadland (In IMAX theatres Jan.29, then cinemas — and Hulu—on Feb.19.)
And the envelope please... this year's #1 frontrunner on all lists features the story of a woman (Frances McDormand) who embarks on a journey through the American West after losing everything during the recession. It's a well-timed film starring one of our best actresses with only one way to go on the front-runner list.
Noteworthy late-contenders and frontrunners in other categories:
Mank (Netflix)
Director David Fincher (Se7en, Zodiac, The Social Network) tells the bittersweet story of fabled '30s screenwriter Herman J. Mankiewicz and the creation of Hollywood's most honored film, Citizen Kane. This black-and-white film is for cinephiles and insomniacs only, but I loved it and Amanda Seyfried's (Les Miserables, Mamma Mia) performance too. Expect a tally of nominations for Best Picture, Director, Cinematography, Original Screenplay, Actor, Supporting Actress, and more.
Soul (Disney+)
Pixar Animation Studios takes you on a journey from the streets of New York City to the Great Beyond and it's beyond great. My soul was touched by very few films in 2020. Sound of Metal, Da 5 Bloods — and this. With a category for Best Animated PIcture available for voters, not many animated films get nods for Best Picture, but this will.
Promising Young Woman (VOD, currently $19.99)
Newcomer director Emerald Fennell and actress Carey Mulligan (An Education) lead this black-comedy revenge story that is in all the top-three lists for Best Picture, Director, Screenplay, Actress, and more. It's in theaters and was recently released via Video On Demand. I'm guessing it's twenty-buck worthy, so I'll see it tonight.
News of the World (VOD, currently $19.99)
There have been twenty Westerns nominated since 1929, and this 2021 one (along with America's Dad) could make it 21. Jefferson Kyle Kidd (Tom Hanks) crosses paths with a 10-year-old girl taken by the Kiowa people. Yeee-haw!
Minari (VOD, February 26)
A Korean American family moves to an Arkansas farm in search of its own American dream. Golden Globes’ rule to exclude non-English language films from competing for Best Drama Film, relegating this to just Best Foreign Language Film, has certainly raised its chances of winning nominations for Best Picture, Director Lee Issac Chung, Actor Steven Yeun, and Supporting Actress Youn Yuh-jung.
The Father (February 26)
Despite their tall list of past nominations and wins, Anthony Hopkins and Olivia Coleman are safe bets for nominations for this empathetic film about aging and dementia. It's also a frontrunner for Best Adapted Screenplay and knocking on the top ten list for Best Picture.
Nomadland (In IMAX theatres Jan.29, then cinemas — and Hulu—on Feb.19.)
And the envelope please... this year's #1 frontrunner on all lists features the story of a woman (Frances McDormand) who embarks on a journey through the American West after losing everything during the recession. It's a well-timed film starring one of our best actresses with only one way to go on the front-runner list.
Noteworthy late-contenders and frontrunners in other categories:
The Little Things (HBOMax, January 29)
Will Denzel Washington's film sneak into the race?
Will Denzel Washington's film sneak into the race?
Malcolm & Marie (Netflix, February 5)
With its late date and dramatic black-and-white good looks, Producer-Director Sam Levinson's small film could make a big splash in a screening year. A filmmaker and his girlfriend discuss their past relationships while returning home from a movie premiere. John David Washington (BlacKkKlansman) and Zendaya (Euphoria) play Malcolm and Marie. Not many have seen this film yet, so it's either a surprise hit or ready for the backlash awarded to over-hyped streamers.
The Life Ahead (Netflix)
86-year old Sophia Loren has a true shot at Best Actress nod this year for her role as an aging Holocaust survivor forges a bond with a young immigrant from Senegal who recently robbed her. It's a beauty. Italian director Edoardo Ponti is her son. Subtitles.
Let Them All Talk (HBOMax)
Never count out a Meryl Streep performance, but Candice Bergen is getting noticed for her Best Supporting Actress-worthy turn that is so moving it will make anyone forget her recent Murphy Brown reboot. Which is saying a lot.
Judas and the Black Messiah (HBOMax, February 12)
A Black Panther story for Best Picture? Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out) for a second acting nod? We'll find out more in February.
On The Rocks (Apple+)
I don't think Bill Murray will get a Best Supporting Actor nom for this but many lists do. It's more of a Golden Globe thing, but still a cute little comedy.
Pieces of a Woman (Netflix)
The film won't get a Best Picture nod, but its star, Ellen Burstyn, might. It's a rough film to watch and the back half doesn't pay off so thank me now for hinting that you can skip this one.
The United States vs. Billie Holiday (Hulu, February 26)
Will this biopic sneak into the race for Best Picture, Director (Lee Daniels), and Actress (Andra Day)? It's Hulu's only original-to-their-platform contender to spend Oscar-campaign money on, so we'll see.
With its late date and dramatic black-and-white good looks, Producer-Director Sam Levinson's small film could make a big splash in a screening year. A filmmaker and his girlfriend discuss their past relationships while returning home from a movie premiere. John David Washington (BlacKkKlansman) and Zendaya (Euphoria) play Malcolm and Marie. Not many have seen this film yet, so it's either a surprise hit or ready for the backlash awarded to over-hyped streamers.
The Life Ahead (Netflix)
86-year old Sophia Loren has a true shot at Best Actress nod this year for her role as an aging Holocaust survivor forges a bond with a young immigrant from Senegal who recently robbed her. It's a beauty. Italian director Edoardo Ponti is her son. Subtitles.
Let Them All Talk (HBOMax)
Never count out a Meryl Streep performance, but Candice Bergen is getting noticed for her Best Supporting Actress-worthy turn that is so moving it will make anyone forget her recent Murphy Brown reboot. Which is saying a lot.
Judas and the Black Messiah (HBOMax, February 12)
A Black Panther story for Best Picture? Daniel Kaluuya (Get Out) for a second acting nod? We'll find out more in February.
On The Rocks (Apple+)
I don't think Bill Murray will get a Best Supporting Actor nom for this but many lists do. It's more of a Golden Globe thing, but still a cute little comedy.
Pieces of a Woman (Netflix)
The film won't get a Best Picture nod, but its star, Ellen Burstyn, might. It's a rough film to watch and the back half doesn't pay off so thank me now for hinting that you can skip this one.
The United States vs. Billie Holiday (Hulu, February 26)
Will this biopic sneak into the race for Best Picture, Director (Lee Daniels), and Actress (Andra Day)? It's Hulu's only original-to-their-platform contender to spend Oscar-campaign money on, so we'll see.
First Cow (Hulu Premium and VOD, currently $4.99)
The film I wish Hulu would spend its campaign money on. It's wonderful.
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