Does Borat win a Golden Globe in crazy 2021—yes. Here's how many

The Hollywood Foreign Press is an odd group with not one voter that overlaps with Oscars and votes on films all-over-the-place; Working Girl, Mrs. Doubtfire and The Hangover have actually won Best Motion Picture Comedy/Musical, and The Martian won despite not being a comedy or very good. 

Next year, I'll probably add that the Borat guy and his films won 3-5 awards in 2021. Most of the best performances this year are by people with many trophies on their shelf already — except Sacha Baron Cohen and Chadwick Boseman.

But rest easy, The Ten Buck Review has an 82% correct prediction rate that could help you win your awards pool (or at least look really darn smart during the telecast). Here's what's gonna happen:

Best Motion Picture – Drama
The Father
Mank
Nomadland
Promising Young Woman
The Trial of the Chicago 7

Winner: The Trial of the Chicago 7

Upset: Nomadland

Odds are 50/50 in Vegas on these two. The ability to award both with a Nomadland directing win gives an edge to the still relevant riot film.

Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
Hamilton
Palm Springs
Music
The Prom

Winner: Borat Subsequent Moviefilm

Upset: Palm Springs

I can't believe it either, but it's the most likely outcome.

Best Director – Motion Picture

Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman
David Fincher, Mank
Regina King, One Night in Miami
Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7
Chloé Zhao, Nomadland

Winner: Chloé Zhao (Nomadland)

Upset: Anyone else. It's a top film of the year with a female director.

Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama

Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal
Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom

Anthony Hopkins,  The Father
Gary Oldman, Mank 
Tahar Rahim, The Mauritanian

Winner: The late Chadwick Boseman

Upset: Anyone else.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama
Viola Davis, Ma Rainey’s Black Bottom
Andra Day, The United States vs. Billie Holiday 
Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman 
Frances McDormand, Nomadland
Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman

Winner: Carey Mulligan

Upset: Anyone else.

This would be a closer race if Davis and McDormand didn't have a full awards shelf. And Mulligan kills it in Promising Young Woman.

Best Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy 

Sacha Baron Cohen, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
James Corden, The Prom
Lin-Manuel Miranda, Hamilton
Dev Patel, The Personal History of David Copperfield
Andy Samberg, Palm Springs

Winner: Sacha Baron Cohen 

Upset: Andy Samberg

Yes, we are living in crazy times.

Best Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy
Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
Kate Hudson, Music
Michelle Pfeiffer, French Exit
Rosamund Pike, I Care a Lot
Anya Taylor-Joy, Emma

Winner: Maria Bakalova 

Upset: Anyone else

It's getting crazier. I don't think it's Michelle Pfeiffer's year to come back. Anya Taylor-Joy has a better chance for Queen's Gambit.

Best Actor in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture
Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7
Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah 
Jared Leto, The Little Things
Bill Murray, On the Rocks 
Leslie Odom, Jr., One Night in Miami 

Winner: Maria Bakalova 

Upset: Daniel Kaluuya

This is where Sacha may be the front runner who doesn't win. Kaluuya or Odom Jr. can take this one.

Best Actress in a Supporting Role in Any Motion Picture 

Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy 
Olivia Colman, The Father
Jodie Foster, The Mauritanian
Amanda Seyfried, Mank
Helena Zengel, News of the World

Winner: Olivia Colman

Upset: Amanda Seyfried

Close may not have an Oscar, but she has Golden Globes so I disagree with Vegas. This is where either Mank or The Father finally win. Olivia will lose the TV actress award to her co-star who played Diana.

Best Original Score – Motion Picture 

The Midnight Sky, Alexandre Desplat 
Tenet, Ludwig Göransson 
News of the World, James Newton Howard 
Mank, Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross 

Soul, Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross, Jon Batiste 

Winner: Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross, and Jon Batiste for Soul

Upset: Trent Reznor and Atticus Ross for Mank 

These guys are competing against themselves. Mank is edgier, but Soul has the edge.

Best Original Song – Motion Picture

"Fight for You” from Judas and the Black Messiah - H.E.R., Dernst Emile II, Tiara Thomas 
“Hear My Voice” from The Trial of the Chicago 7 -  Daniel Pemberton, Celeste
“Io Si (Seen)” from The Life Ahead  – Diane Warren, Laura Pausini, Niccolò Agliardi 
“Speak Now” from One Night in Miami – Leslie Odom Jr, Sam Ashworth 
“Tigress & Tweed” from The United States vs. Billie Holliday – Andra Day, Raphael Saadiq

Winner: "Speak Now” from One Night in Miami

Upset: Anyone else

This is where we award Leslie Odom Jr.

Best Screenplay – Motion Picture 

Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman
Jack Fincher, Mank
Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7
Florian Zeller, Christopher Hampton, The Father
Chloe Zhao, Nomadland

Winner: Aaron Sorkin

Upset: Anyone else

I'm pretty sure they've already engraved this one.

Best Motion Picture – Animated
The Croods: A New Age
Onward
Over the Moon
Soul
Wolfwalkers 

Winner: Soul

Upset: Anyone else

Sorry not sorry Wolfwalkers and gorgeous Over the Moon, this film almost made me cry.

Best Motion Picture – Foreign Language 

Another Round

La Llorona

The Life Ahead
Minari
Two of Us

Winner: Minari

Upset: Another Round

The controversy over a foreign language film not being allowed to compete for Best Picture (same as last few years for Parasite and Roma), should put Minari on top.

It's been a crazy year. This show will add to that.