With a record of 78.7% nominations accuracy, here are my predictions for the most unusual, streamiest Oscar race ever. Mank, which won't win any in April, gets 13 nominations across all categories.
Best Picture
The Father
Judas and the Black Messiah
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Mank
Minari
Nomadland
One Night in Miami
Promising Young Woman
Sound of Metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7
Spoiler: News of the World
Shocker: Da 5 Bloods
Best Director
Lee Isaac Chung, Minari
Emerald Fennell, Promising Young Woman
David Fincher, Mank
Aaron Sorkin, The Trial of the Chicago 7
Chloé Zhao, Nomadland
Spoiler: Darius Marder, The Sound of Metal
Shocker: Spike Lee (Da 5 Bloods), Paul Greengrass (News of the World), Regina King (One Night in Miami)
Best Actor
Riz Ahmed, Sound of Metal
Steven Yeun Aman, The Mauritanian
Chadwick Boseman, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Anthony Hopkins, The Father
Gary Oldman, Mank
Spoiler: Delroy Lindo, Da 5 Bloods , Steven Yeun, Minari
Shocker: Ben Affleck, The Way Back
Best Actress
Andra Day, The United States vs. Billie Holiday
Viola Davis, Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Vanessa Kirby, Pieces of a Woman
Frances McDormand, Nomadland
Carey Mulligan, Promising Young Woman
Spoiler: Sophia Loren, The Life Ahead
Shocker: Yeri Han, Minari
Best Supporting Actor
Sacha Baron Cohen, The Trial of the Chicago 7
Daniel Kaluuya, Judas and the Black Messiah
Leslie Odom Jr., One Night in Miami
Paul Raci, Sound of Metal
David Strathairn, Nomadland
Spoiler: Chadwick Boseman, Da 5 Bloods
Shocker: Frank Langella or Mark Rylance, The Trial of the Chicago 7
Best Supporting Actress
Maria Bakalova, Borat Subsequent Moviefilm
Olivia Colman, The Father
Jodie Foster, The Mauritanian
Amanda Seyfried, Mank
Youn Yuh-jung, Minari
Spoiler: Glenn Close, Hillbilly Elegy
Shocker: Olivia Cooke, Sound of Metal
Best Adapted Screenplay
The Father
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
News of the World
Nomadland
One Night in Miami
Spoiler: First Cow
Shocker: The Mauritanian
Best Original Screenplay
Mank
Minari
Promising Young Woman
Sound of Metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7
Spoiler: Judas and the Black Messiah
Surprise: Da 5 Bloods
Best Documentary Feature
Crip Camp
Collective
My Octopus Teacher
Time
The Truffle Hunters
Spoiler: The Painter and the Thief, Welcome to Chechnya
Shocker: Dick Johnson Is Dead, The Mole Agent
Best International Feature
A Sun (Taiwan)
Another Round (Denmark)
Collective (Romania)
I'm No Longer Here (Mexico)
Two of Us (France)
Spoiler: Quo Vadis, Aida? (Bosnia and Herzegovina)
Best Animated Feature
A Shaun the Sheep Movie: Farmageddon
Onward
Over the Moon
Soul
Wolfwalkers
Spoiler: The Croods: A New Age
Shocker: The Willoughbys
Best Cinematography
Judas and the Black Mesiah
Mank
Minari
News of the World
Nomadland
Spoiler: The Trial of the Chicago 7
Shocker: Tenet The Trial of the Chicago 7
Best Costume Design
Emma
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Mank
News of the World
Promising Young Woman
Spoiler: Ammonite
Shocker: Mulan, The United States vs. Billie Holiday
Best Film Editing
The Father
Mank
Nomadland
Sound of Metal
The Trial of the Chicago 7
Spoiler: News of the World
Shocker: Promising Young Woman, Tenet
Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Emma
Hillbilly Elegy
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Mank
Pinocchio
Spoiler: Jingle Jangle: A Christmas Journey
Shocker: Birds of Prey
Best Original Score
Mank
The Midnight Sky
Minari
News of the World
Soul
Spoiler: Tenet
Shocker: Da 5 Bloods
Best Original Song
"Hear My Voice" (The Trial of the Chicago 7)
"Husavik" (Eurovision Song Contest: The Story of Fire Saga)
"Io Si (Seen)" (The Life Ahead)
"Never Break" (Giving Voice)
"Speak Now" (One Night in Miami)
Spoiler: "Turntables" (All In: The Fight for Democracy)
Shocker: “Rain Song” (Minari
Best Production Design
The Father
Mank
Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
News of the World
Tenet
Spoiler: Judas and the Black Messiah
Shocker: One Night in Miami
Best Sound
Mank
News of the World
Nomadland
Soul
Sound of Metal
Spoiler: Ma Rainey's Black Bottom
Shocker: Tenet
Best Visual Effects
Mank
The Midnight Sky
Mulan
The One and Only Ivan
Tenet
Spoiler: Birds of Prey
Shocker: The Invisible Man
Best Animated Short
If Anything Happens I Love You
Out
The Snail and the Whale
To Gerard
Yes-People
Spoiler: Kapaemahu
Best Documentary Short
Colette
A Concerto Is a Conversation
Hysterical Girl
A Love Song for Latasha
What Would Sophia Loren Do?
Spoiler: Do Not Split
Best Live-Action Short
Two Distant Strangers
Feeling Through
The Human Voice
The Letter Room
The Van
Spoiler: The Present
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