Monday, February 7, 2022

Who Gets An Oscar Nomination Tomorrow?


With a record of 78.7% accuracy at predicting nominees, here are my predictions for the streamiest Oscar race ever with titles that sound like another decade. Expect Dune to land 11 nominations, followed by Jan Campion's Power of the Dog with 10 and Belfast and West Side story with 8. 

BEST PICTURE
Belfast
CODA
Don’t Look Up
Drive My Car
Dune
King Richard
Licorice Pizza
Tick, Tick … Boom!
The Power of the Dog
West Side Story

Spoiler: Nightmare Alley, Lost Daughter



BEST DIRECTOR

Paul Thomas Anderson, Licorice Pizza
Kenneth Branagh, Belfast
Jane Campion, The Power of the Dog
Steven Spielberg, West Side Story
Denis Villeneuve, Dune

Spoiler: Adam McKay (Don’t Look Up), or Ryusuke Hamaguchi (Drive My Car)



BEST ACTOR

Bradley Cooper, Nightmare Alley
Benedict Cumberbatch, The Power of the Dog
Andrew Garfield, Tick Tick Boom!
Will Smith, King Richard
Denzel Washington, The Tragedy of Macbeth

Spoiler: Jude Hill (Belfast), or Leonardo DiCaprio (Don’t Look Up)



BEST ACTRESS

Olivia Colman, The Lost Daughter
Penélope Cruz, Parallel Mothers
Lady Gaga, House of Gucci
Emilia Jones, CODA
Nicole Kidman, Being the Ricardos

Spoiler: Kristen Stewart, Spencer



BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Bradley Cooper, Licorice Pizza
Ciarán Hinds, Belfast
Troy Kotsur, CODA
Jesse Plemons, The Power of the Dog
Kodi Smit-McPhee, The Power of the Dog

Spoiler: Jamie Dornan, Belfast



BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Caitríona Balfe, Belfast
Cate Blanchett, Nightmare Alley
Ariana DeBose, West Side Story
Kirsten Dunst, The Power of the Dog
Judi Dench (Belfast)

Spoiler: Marlee Matlin (CODA) or Rita Moreno (West Side Story)



BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

CODA
Drive My Car
Dune
The Power of the Dog
The Lost Daughter


Spoiler: The Tragedy of Macbeth



BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Being the Ricardos
Belfast
Don’t Look Up
Licorice Pizza
Parallel Mothers

Spoiler: C’mon Cmon, King Richard


BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Belfast
Dune
Nightmare Alley
The Power of the Dog
The Tragedy of Macbeth



BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Cruella
Dune
Nightmare Alley
The French Dispatch
West Side Story


Spoiler: House of Gucci


BEST FILM EDITING
Belfast
Dune
No Time to Die
The Power of the Dog
West Side Story


BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

Cruella
Dune
House of Gucci
The Eyes of Tammy Faye
West Side Story


Spoiler: Coming 2 America, Nightmare Alley


BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Don’t Look Up
Dune
Parallel Mothers
The Power of the Dog
The French Dispatch


BEST ORIGINAL SONG

“No Time to Die," No Time To Die
“Just Look Up,” Don't Look Up
“Beyond the Shore,” CODA
“Be Alive,” King Richard
“Your Song Saved My Life,” Sing 2


BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Belfast
Dune
Nightmare Alley
The French Dispatch
West Side Story

BEST SOUND

Dune
No Time to Die
Spider-Man: No Way Home
Tick, Tick … Boom!
West Side Story


BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Dune
No Time to Die
Shang-Chi and the Legend of the Ten Rings
Spider-Man: No Way Home
The Matrix Resurrections


BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Encanto
Flee
Luca
The Mitchells vs. the Machines
Raya and the Last Dragon



BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Ascension
Attica
Flee
Summer of Soul
The Rescue

BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

A Hero (Iran)
Drive My Car (Japan)
Plaza Catedral (Panama)
The Hand of God (Italy)
The Worst Person in the World (Norway)


BEST ANIMATED SHORT
Bestia
Namoo
Step Into the River
The Windshield Wiper
Us Again


BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT

Águilas
Coded: The Hidden Love of J.C. Leyendecker
Day of Rage
The Queen of Basketball
Three Songs for Benazir



BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT
Frimas
Please Hold
Tala’vision
The Long Goodbye
When the Sun Sets









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