Sunday, January 21, 2024

Who Gets An Oscar Nomination Tomorrow?


With a record of 78.7% accuracy at predicting nominees, here are my predictions for an Oscar race that will reward Oppenheimer with a towering 13 nominations and 10 for its summer companion, Barbie, a Mattel toy movie that is going to scoop up a two-digit tally of Academy Awards.

PICTURE

American Fiction
Anatomy of a Fall
Barbie
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest


Spoiler: The Color Purple
Shocker: Saltburn


DIRECTOR

Greta Gerwig, Barbie
Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest
Alexander Payne, The Holdovers
Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer
Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon

Spoiler: Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things
Shocker: Justine Triet, Anatomy of a Fall

ACTRESS

Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
Sandra Hüller, Anatomy of a Fall
Carey Mulligan, Maestro
Margot Robbie, Barbie
Emma Stone, Poor Things

Spoiler: Annette Bening, Nyad
Shocker: Fantasia, The Color Purple

ACTOR

Bradley Cooper, Maestro
Colman Domingo, Rustin
Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers
Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer
Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction

Spoiler: Leo DiCaprio, Killers of the Flower Moon
Shocker: Barry Keoghan, Saltburn 



SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer
Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
Jodie Foster, Nyad
Jullianne Moore, May December
Da’Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers

Spoiler: 
Sandra Huller, The Zone of Interest
Shocker: Rosamund Pike, Saltburn or Penélope Cruz, Ferrari



SUPPORTING ACTOR

Willem Dafoe, Poor Things
Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon
Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer
Ryan Gosling, Barbie
Dominic Sessa, The Holdovers

Spoiler: 
Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things 
Shocker: Charles Melton, May December

ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

American Fiction, Cord Jefferson
Barbie, Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach
Killers of the Flower Moon, Eric Roth, Martin Scorsese
Oppenheimer, Christopher Nolan
Poor Things, Tony McNamara

Spoiler: Zone of Interest
Shocker: All of Us Strangers


ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Anatomy of a Fall, Justine Triet, Arthur Harari
The Holdovers, David Hemingson
Maestro, Bradley Cooper, Josh Singer
May December, Samy Burch, Alex Mechanik
Past Lives, Celine Song

Spoiler: Saltburn, Emerald Fennel
Shocker: The Boy and the Heron


INTERNATIONAL FEATURE

Fallen Leaves, Finland
Society of the Snow, Spain
The Taste of Things, France
The Teachers’ Lounge, Germany
The Zone of Interest, UK


ANIMATED FEATURE

The Boy and the Heron
Elemental
Nimona
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
Suzume

Spoiler: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles

DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
20 Days in Mariupol

American Symphony
Beyond Utopia
The Eternal Memory
Four Daughters

Spoiler: Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie

CINEMATOGRAPHY
Killers of the Flower Moon, Rodrigo Prieto
Maestro, Matthew Libatique
Oppenheimer, Hoyte van Hoytema
Poor Things, Robbie Ryan
The Zone of Interest, Lukasz Zal

COSTUME DESIGN
Barbie, Jacqueline Durran
Killers of the Flower Moon, Jacqueline West
Napoleon, David Crossman and Janty Yates
Oppenheimer, Ellen Mirojnick
Poor Things, Holly Waddington

FILM EDITING
Anatomy of a Fall
The Holdovers
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest

Potential snub: Killers of the Flower Moon

MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
Society of the Snow

PRODUCTION DESIGN

Barbie
Killers of the Flower Moon
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest


SCORE
Barbie, Mark Ronson and Andrew Wyatt
Killers of the Flower Moon, Robbie Robertson
Oppenheimer, Ludwig Göransson
Poor Things, Jerskin Fendrix
The Zone of Interest, Mica Levi

Spoiler: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse, Daniel Pemberton

SONG
“The Fire Inside” by Diane Warren, Flamin’ Hot
"I'm Just Ken" by Mark Ronson and Andrew Wyatt, Barbie
“It Never Went Away” by Jon Batiste and Dan Wilson, American Symphony
"What Was I Made For?" by Billie Eilish and Finneas, Barbie
“Road to Freedom” by Lenny Kravitz, Rustin

SOUND
Ferrari
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
The Zone of Interest

Spoiler: Barbie, The Killer

VISUAL EFFECTS
The Creator
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3
Poor Things
Society of the Snow
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse

Spoiler: Godzilla Minus One

LIVE-ACTION SHORT
The After
The Anne Frank Gift Shop
Red, White and Blue or Yellow
Strange Way of Life
The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar

ANIMATED SHORT
Boom
Letter to a Pig
Ninety-Five Senses
Once Upon a Studio
War Is Over! Inspired by the Music of John & Yoko

DOCUMENTARY SHORT
The ABCs of Book Banning, MTV
Camp Courage, Netflix
Deciding Vote, The New Yorker
The Last Repair Shop, LA Times/Searchlight
Oasis, The New York Times
























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