With a record of 78.7% accuracy at predicting nominees, here are my predictions for an Oscar race that will reward Oppenheimer with a towering 13 nominations and 10 for its summer companion, Barbie, a Mattel toy movie that is going to scoop up a two-digit tally of Academy Awards.
PICTURE
American Fiction
Anatomy of a Fall
Barbie
The Holdovers
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Past Lives
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest
Spoiler: The Color Purple
Shocker: Saltburn
DIRECTOR
Greta Gerwig, Barbie
Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest
Alexander Payne, The Holdovers
Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer
Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Willem Dafoe, Poor Things
Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon
Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer
Ryan Gosling, Barbie
Dominic Sessa, The Holdovers
Spoiler: Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
American Fiction, Cord Jefferson
Barbie, Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach
Killers of the Flower Moon, Eric Roth, Martin Scorsese
Oppenheimer, Christopher Nolan
Poor Things, Tony McNamara
Spoiler: Zone of Interest
Shocker: All of Us Strangers
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Anatomy of a Fall, Justine Triet, Arthur Harari
The Holdovers, David Hemingson
Maestro, Bradley Cooper, Josh Singer
May December, Samy Burch, Alex Mechanik
Past Lives, Celine Song
Spoiler: Saltburn, Emerald Fennel
Shocker: The Boy and the Heron
INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
Fallen Leaves, Finland
Society of the Snow, Spain
The Taste of Things, France
The Teachers’ Lounge, Germany
The Zone of Interest, UK
COSTUME DESIGN
Barbie, Jacqueline Durran
Killers of the Flower Moon, Jacqueline West
Napoleon, David Crossman and Janty Yates
Oppenheimer, Ellen Mirojnick
Poor Things, Holly Waddington
Past Lives
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest
Spoiler: The Color Purple
Shocker: Saltburn
DIRECTOR
Greta Gerwig, Barbie
Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest
Alexander Payne, The Holdovers
Christopher Nolan, Oppenheimer
Martin Scorsese, Killers of the Flower Moon
Spoiler: Yorgos Lanthimos, Poor Things
Shocker: Justine Triet, Anatomy of a Fall
ACTRESS
Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
Sandra Hüller, Anatomy of a Fall
Carey Mulligan, Maestro
Margot Robbie, Barbie
Emma Stone, Poor Things
Spoiler: Annette Bening, Nyad
Shocker: Fantasia, The Color Purple
ACTOR
Bradley Cooper, Maestro
Colman Domingo, Rustin
Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers
Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer
Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction
Spoiler: Leo DiCaprio, Killers of the Flower Moon
Shocker: Barry Keoghan, Saltburn
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer
Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
Jodie Foster, Nyad
Jullianne Moore, May December
Da’Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers
Spoiler: Sandra Huller, The Zone of Interest
Shocker: Justine Triet, Anatomy of a Fall
ACTRESS
Lily Gladstone, Killers of the Flower Moon
Sandra Hüller, Anatomy of a Fall
Carey Mulligan, Maestro
Margot Robbie, Barbie
Emma Stone, Poor Things
Spoiler: Annette Bening, Nyad
Shocker: Fantasia, The Color Purple
ACTOR
Bradley Cooper, Maestro
Colman Domingo, Rustin
Paul Giamatti, The Holdovers
Cillian Murphy, Oppenheimer
Jeffrey Wright, American Fiction
Spoiler: Leo DiCaprio, Killers of the Flower Moon
Shocker: Barry Keoghan, Saltburn
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Emily Blunt, Oppenheimer
Danielle Brooks, The Color Purple
Jodie Foster, Nyad
Jullianne Moore, May December
Da’Vine Joy Randolph, The Holdovers
Spoiler: Sandra Huller, The Zone of Interest
Shocker: Rosamund Pike, Saltburn or Penélope Cruz, Ferrari
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Willem Dafoe, Poor Things
Robert De Niro, Killers of the Flower Moon
Robert Downey Jr., Oppenheimer
Ryan Gosling, Barbie
Dominic Sessa, The Holdovers
Spoiler: Mark Ruffalo, Poor Things
Shocker: Charles Melton, May December
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
American Fiction, Cord Jefferson
Barbie, Greta Gerwig and Noah Baumbach
Killers of the Flower Moon, Eric Roth, Martin Scorsese
Oppenheimer, Christopher Nolan
Poor Things, Tony McNamara
Spoiler: Zone of Interest
Shocker: All of Us Strangers
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Anatomy of a Fall, Justine Triet, Arthur Harari
The Holdovers, David Hemingson
Maestro, Bradley Cooper, Josh Singer
May December, Samy Burch, Alex Mechanik
Past Lives, Celine Song
Spoiler: Saltburn, Emerald Fennel
Shocker: The Boy and the Heron
INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
Fallen Leaves, Finland
Society of the Snow, Spain
The Taste of Things, France
The Teachers’ Lounge, Germany
The Zone of Interest, UK
Spoiler: Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles
DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
20 Days in Mariupol
20 Days in Mariupol
American Symphony
Beyond Utopia
The Eternal Memory
The Eternal Memory
Four Daughters
Spoiler: Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie
CINEMATOGRAPHY
Killers of the Flower Moon, Rodrigo Prieto
Maestro, Matthew Libatique
Oppenheimer, Hoyte van Hoytema
Poor Things, Robbie Ryan
Spoiler: Still: A Michael J. Fox Movie
CINEMATOGRAPHY
Killers of the Flower Moon, Rodrigo Prieto
Maestro, Matthew Libatique
Oppenheimer, Hoyte van Hoytema
Poor Things, Robbie Ryan
The Zone of Interest, Lukasz Zal
COSTUME DESIGN
Barbie, Jacqueline Durran
Killers of the Flower Moon, Jacqueline West
Napoleon, David Crossman and Janty Yates
Oppenheimer, Ellen Mirojnick
Poor Things, Holly Waddington
FILM EDITING
Anatomy of a Fall
The Holdovers
Anatomy of a Fall
The Holdovers
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest
Potential snub: Killers of the Flower Moon
MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
Society of the Snow
PRODUCTION DESIGN
Barbie
Killers of the Flower Moon
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest
SCORE
Barbie, Mark Ronson and Andrew Wyatt
MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
Society of the Snow
PRODUCTION DESIGN
Barbie
Killers of the Flower Moon
Oppenheimer
Poor Things
The Zone of Interest
SCORE
Barbie, Mark Ronson and Andrew Wyatt
Killers of the Flower Moon, Robbie Robertson
Oppenheimer, Ludwig Göransson
Poor Things, Jerskin Fendrix
The Zone of Interest, Mica Levi
Oppenheimer, Ludwig Göransson
Poor Things, Jerskin Fendrix
The Zone of Interest, Mica Levi
Spoiler: Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse, Daniel Pemberton
SONG
“The Fire Inside” by Diane Warren, Flamin’ Hot
"I'm Just Ken" by Mark Ronson and Andrew Wyatt, Barbie
“It Never Went Away” by Jon Batiste and Dan Wilson, American Symphony
"What Was I Made For?" by Billie Eilish and Finneas, Barbie
“Road to Freedom” by Lenny Kravitz, Rustin
SOUND
Ferrari
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
The Zone of Interest
SONG
“The Fire Inside” by Diane Warren, Flamin’ Hot
"I'm Just Ken" by Mark Ronson and Andrew Wyatt, Barbie
“It Never Went Away” by Jon Batiste and Dan Wilson, American Symphony
"What Was I Made For?" by Billie Eilish and Finneas, Barbie
“Road to Freedom” by Lenny Kravitz, Rustin
SOUND
Ferrari
Killers of the Flower Moon
Maestro
Oppenheimer
The Zone of Interest
Spoiler: Barbie, The Killer
VISUAL EFFECTS
The Creator
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3
Poor Things
VISUAL EFFECTS
The Creator
Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3
Poor Things
Society of the Snow
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse
Spoiler: Godzilla Minus One
LIVE-ACTION SHORT
The After
The Anne Frank Gift Shop
Red, White and Blue or Yellow
Strange Way of Life
The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar
The Anne Frank Gift Shop
Red, White and Blue or Yellow
Strange Way of Life
The Wonderful Story of Henry Sugar
ANIMATED SHORT
Boom
Boom
Letter to a Pig
Ninety-Five Senses
Once Upon a Studio
War Is Over! Inspired by the Music of John & Yoko
Ninety-Five Senses
Once Upon a Studio
War Is Over! Inspired by the Music of John & Yoko
DOCUMENTARY SHORT
The ABCs of Book Banning, MTV
Camp Courage, Netflix
Deciding Vote, The New Yorker
The Last Repair Shop, LA Times/Searchlight
The ABCs of Book Banning, MTV
Camp Courage, Netflix
Deciding Vote, The New Yorker
The Last Repair Shop, LA Times/Searchlight
Oasis, The New York Times
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