With a record of 82.7% accuracy at predicting nominees like a wiz, here are my predictions for an Oscar race that will reward The Brutalist, Emilia Perez and Conclave with a towering 10 nominations each, with a wicked six for A Complete Unknown and Wicked. Let’s see who follows the yellow brick road to Oscar gold.
And the nominees are...
Anora
The Brutalist
September 5
A Complete Unknown
Conclave
Dune: Part Two
Dune: Part Two
Emilia Perez
September 5
Sing Sing
The Substance
Wicked
Edward Berger, Conclave
ACTOR
Adrien Brody, The Brutalist
Timothee Chalamet, A Complete Unknown
ACTRESS
Cynthia Erivo, Wicked
Karla Sofia Gascon, Emilia Perez
Potential surprise: Above are my picks but at any moment I'd feel equally confident to replace any of above for: Angelina Jolie for Maria and her career best in a movie that didn't work, or Fernanda Torres, I'm Still Here if they saw it (and her campaigning this week is on fire). However, with the fires in CA, they probably saw more of Jamie Lee Curtis on social this week than screenings which benefits Pamela Anderson, The Last Showgirl, and there is tremendous last-minute buzz for Kate Winslet and Lee. And what if the voters put Zoe Saldana in this category for Emilia Perez?
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Yura Borisov, Anora
Potential surprise: Stanley Tucci, Conclave, Clarence Maclin for Sing Sing, Denzel Washington for Gladiator II
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Ariana Grande, Wicked
Felicity Jones, The Brutalist
Jamie Lee Curtis The Last Showgirl
Zoe Saldana, Emilia Perez
Potential surprise: Margaret Qualley, The Substance is peaking at the right time. Michele Austin, Hard Truths would be an excellent pic. Selena Gomez in Emilia Perez and Monica Barbaro in A Complete Unknown would not surprise me either.
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
A Complete Unknown
Conclave
Emilia Perez
Nickel Boys
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
Emilia Perez
Flow
I'm Still Here
Kneecap
The Seed of the Sacred Fig
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Flow
Inside Out 2
Mermoir of a Snail
Wallace and Gromtit: Vengeance Most Fowl
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Daughters
No Other Land
Porcelain War
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Conclave
Dune: Part Two
Maria
Nosferatu
Spoiler: Emilia Perez, Nickel Boys, A Complete Unknown
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Beetlejuice Beetlejuice
Spoiler: Nosferatu,The Brutalist, Maria, Blitz, Gladiator
FILM EDITING
Anora
MAKEUP & HAIR
A Different Man
ORIGINAL SCORE
The Brutalist
SOUND
VISUAL EFFECTS
Better Man
Dune: Part Two
Gladiator II
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes
Wicked
Potential surprise: Twisters
Potential Surprise: A Real Pain, All We Imagine as Light
DIRECTOR
Jacques Audiard, Emilia Perez
DIRECTOR
Jacques Audiard, Emilia Perez
Brady Corbet, The Brutalist
Payal Kapadia, All We Imagine As Light
Sean Baker, Anora
Potential surprise: Coralie Fargeat's The Substance is peaking at the right time and would fill another director slot with a female pick. Less likely, the bold work of RaMell on Nickel Boys. Equally deserving, Jon Chu for Wicked.
Payal Kapadia, All We Imagine As Light
Sean Baker, Anora
Potential surprise: Coralie Fargeat's The Substance is peaking at the right time and would fill another director slot with a female pick. Less likely, the bold work of RaMell on Nickel Boys. Equally deserving, Jon Chu for Wicked.
Adrien Brody, The Brutalist
Timothee Chalamet, A Complete Unknown
Colman Domingo, Sing Sing
Ralph Fiennes, Conclave
Sebastian Stan, The Apprentice
Potential surprise: Hollywood has a current bromance with Sebastian Stan, elevating him for his work this year, but he could get it for A Different Manor instead, or more likely, split votes which benefit Daniel Craig, Queer.
Ralph Fiennes, Conclave
Sebastian Stan, The Apprentice
Potential surprise: Hollywood has a current bromance with Sebastian Stan, elevating him for his work this year, but he could get it for A Different Manor instead, or more likely, split votes which benefit Daniel Craig, Queer.
Cynthia Erivo, Wicked
Karla Sofia Gascon, Emilia Perez
Marianne Jean-Baptiste, Hard Truths
Mikey Madison, Anora
Demi Moore, The Substance
Potential surprise: Above are my picks but at any moment I'd feel equally confident to replace any of above for: Angelina Jolie for Maria and her career best in a movie that didn't work, or Fernanda Torres, I'm Still Here if they saw it (and her campaigning this week is on fire). However, with the fires in CA, they probably saw more of Jamie Lee Curtis on social this week than screenings which benefits Pamela Anderson, The Last Showgirl, and there is tremendous last-minute buzz for Kate Winslet and Lee. And what if the voters put Zoe Saldana in this category for Emilia Perez?
SUPPORTING ACTOR
Yura Borisov, Anora
Kieran Culkin, A Real Pain
Ed Norton, A Complete Unknown
Guy Pearce, The Brutalist
Jeremy Strong, The Apprentice
Guy Pearce, The Brutalist
Jeremy Strong, The Apprentice
Potential surprise: Stanley Tucci, Conclave, Clarence Maclin for Sing Sing, Denzel Washington for Gladiator II
SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Ariana Grande, Wicked
Felicity Jones, The Brutalist
Jamie Lee Curtis The Last Showgirl
Isabella Rossellini, Conclave
Zoe Saldana, Emilia Perez
Potential surprise: Margaret Qualley, The Substance is peaking at the right time. Michele Austin, Hard Truths would be an excellent pic. Selena Gomez in Emilia Perez and Monica Barbaro in A Complete Unknown would not surprise me either.
ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
A Complete Unknown
Conclave
Emilia Perez
Nickel Boys
Sing Sing
Spoiler: Wicked, Dune: Part Two
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
All We Imagine As Light
ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
All We Imagine As Light
Anora
The Brutalist
A Real Pain
The Substance
The Substance
Spoiler: September 5, Kneecap, Challengers, Hard Truths
BEST INTERNATIONAL FEATURE
Emilia Perez
Flow
I'm Still Here
Kneecap
The Seed of the Sacred Fig
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE
Flow
Inside Out 2
Mermoir of a Snail
Wallace and Gromtit: Vengeance Most Fowl
The Wild Robot
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
Daughters
No Other Land
Porcelain War
Soundtrack to a Coup d'Etat
Sugarcane
Sugarcane
Potential surprise: MTV doc Black Box Diaries
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
The Brutalist
Dune: Part Two
Maria
Nosferatu
Spoiler: Emilia Perez, Nickel Boys, A Complete Unknown
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Beetlejuice Beetlejuice
A Complete Unknown
Conclave
Dune: Part Two
Wicked
Dune: Part Two
Wicked
Spoiler: Nosferatu,The Brutalist, Maria, Blitz, Gladiator
FILM EDITING
Anora
Conclave
Dune: Part Two
Emilia Perez
Wicked
Dune: Part Two
Emilia Perez
Wicked
Spoiler The Brutalist, September 5, A Complete Unknown
MAKEUP & HAIR
A Different Man
Emilia Perez
Dune: Part Two
Nosferatu
Dune: Part Two
Nosferatu
The Substance
Spoiler: Wicked, The Apprentice
ORIGINAL SCORE
The Brutalist
Challengers
Conclave
Emilia Perez
The Wild Robot
Conclave
Emilia Perez
The Wild Robot
Spoiler: Nosferatu
ORIGINAL SONG
Compress/Repress, Challengers
El Mal, Emilia Perez
Kiss the Sky, The Wild Robot
Mi Camino, Emilia Perez
Sick in the Head, Kneecap
Potential surprise: The Journey by Diane Warren or Elton John's Never Too Late
PRODUCTION DESIGN
The Brutalist
ORIGINAL SONG
Compress/Repress, Challengers
El Mal, Emilia Perez
Kiss the Sky, The Wild Robot
Mi Camino, Emilia Perez
Sick in the Head, Kneecap
Potential surprise: The Journey by Diane Warren or Elton John's Never Too Late
PRODUCTION DESIGN
The Brutalist
Conclave
Dune: Part Two
Nosferatu
Dune: Part Two
Nosferatu
Wicked
Spoiler: The Substance
A Complete Unknown
Dune: Part Two
Emilia Perez
Dune: Part Two
Emilia Perez
Gladiator II
Wicked
Wicked
Potential surprise: Blitz
VISUAL EFFECTS
Better Man
Dune: Part Two
Gladiator II
Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes
Wicked
Potential surprise: Twisters
No comments:
Post a Comment