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Tuesday, January 13, 2015

Boys, Birds and Nerds: Oscar Nominee Predictions 2015

alan eskew dallas oscars
Take these to Vegas: 7 nominations for Birdman and The Imitation Game. 6 for Boyhood and Grand Budapest Hotel — plus many more for a bunch of nerds.

Best Picture 

American Sniper
Birdman 
Boyhood
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Imitation Game
Nightcrawler
Selma
The Theory of Everything
Whiplash
If they choose ten: Foxcatcher

Best Director
Ava Duvernay, Selma
Alejandro G. Inarritu, Birdman
Richard Linklater, Boyhood
Morten Tyldum, The Imitation Game
Wes Anderson, The Grand Budapest Hotel
Spoiler: Damien Chazelle,Whiplash, is a sound bet. 
Shocker: With all these new names, perhaps there is room for Clint Eastwood, American Sniper 

Best Actor
Bradley Cooper, American Sniper
Benedict Cumberbatch, The Imitation Game
David Oyelowo, Selma
Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything
Michael Keaton, Birdman
Spoiler: Gyllenhaal is the front runner, but Bradley Cooper is a hit on Broadway and impressing in American Sniper and could take Gyllenhaal's spot. Steve Carell would be a better bet if he was in the supporting role for Foxcatcher
Shocker: Timothy Spall, Mr. Turner, could be that "out of nowhere" surprise on Oscar morning

Best Actress
Felicity Jones, The Theory of Everything
Julianne Moore, Still Alice
Rosamund Pike, Gone Girl
Reese Witherspoon, Wild
Jennifer Aniston, Cake,
Spoiler:  Amy Adams (Big Eyes) could easily slide into TV star Aniston's slot

Best Supporting Actor
Robert Duvall, The Judge
Ethan Hawke, Boyhood
Edward Norton, Birdman
Mark Ruffalo, Foxcatcher
J.K. Simmons, Whiplash
Spoiler:  Not many options. Carrell should have entered in this category. I'll go with Miyavi, who stole scenes in Unbroken

Best Supporting Actress
Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
Jessica Chastain, A Most Violent Year
Keira Knightley, The Imitation Game
Emma Stone, Birdman
Meryl Streep, Into the Woods
Spoiler:  Laura Dern played a memorable mom in Wild (and in The Fault In Her Stars). She could take Knightley's spot.
Shocker: Rene Russo, Nightcrawler

Adapted Screenplay
American Sniper
Gone Girl
The Imitation Game
The Theory of Everything
Whiplash
Shocker: Wild could displace Whiplash, which was removed from Original Screenplay category by the Academy.
Spoiler: Unbroken (There were two writers before the Coens took over.)

Original Screenplay
Boyhood
Birdman
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Nightcrawler
Selma
Spoiler: Foxcatcher

Animated Feature
Lego Movie
How To Train Dragon 2
Big Hero 6
Boxtrolls
The Tale of Princess Kaguya
Spoiler: I'd bet on the inventive The Book of Life to take the Boxtrolls' spot.

Foreign Language Film
Ida
Wild Tales
Force Majeure
Leviathan
Timbuktu
Spoiler:  Tangerines could take the place of Timbuktu, the first film ever submitted from Mauritania for the award

Cinematography
Birdman
Interstellar
Mr. Turner
Nightcrawler
Unbroken Roger Deakin (overdue honor)
Spoiler: The Theory of Everything or American Sniper

Costume Design
The Grand Budapest Hotel
The Immigrant
Into The Woods
Maleficient
Mr. Turner
Spoiler: If Selma builds up a sweep across many categories, this will be one of them.

Film Editing
Boyhood
Birdman
Foxcatcher
The Imitation Game
Whiplash
Spoiler:  Interstellar or a Selma sweep
Shocker: Unbroken would be a shocker since Goldenberg was brought in to shorten Squyres' project.

Production Design
Into The Woods
Interstellar
Birdman
The Imitation Game
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Spoiler: Unbroken, Selma, Mr. Turner, The Theory of Everything

Makeup and Hairstyling
Maleficent
Foxcatcher
The Grand Budapest Hotel
Spoiler:  Guardians of the Galaxy

Original Score
Unbroken 
The Imitation Game
The Theory of Everything
Gone Girl
Interstellar
Spoiler: Big Eyes    
Shocker: It won't be Birdman, that frontrunner was declared ineligible.

Original Song
I’m Not Gonna Miss You, Glen Campbell: I’ll Be Me
Everything Is Awesome, The LEGO Movie
Glory, Selma
Lost Stars, Begin Again
Yellow Flicker Beat, The Hunger Games: Mockingjay
Spoiler: Big Eyes, Big Eyes, Mercy Is, Noah, Miracles, Unbroken

Sound Editing
Interstellar
Unbroken
Guardians
Whiplash
Hobbit
Spoiler: Intro the Woods Fury

Sound Mixing
American Sniper
Interstellar
Unbroken
Guardians of the Galaxy
Whiplash
Spoiler:  The Hobbit or Into The Woods

Visual Effects
Interstellar
Dawn of Planet of the Apes
Guardians of the Galxy
Hobbit
Transformers
Spoiler:  Godzilla, isn’t he always

Documentary Feature
CitizenFour
Keep On Keepin’ On
Last Days in Vietnam
Life Itself
Virunga
Spoiler: Finding Vivian Maier

Documentary Short
Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1
Joanna
The Lion’s Mouth Opens
The Reaper (La Parka)
White Earth,
Spoiler: Kehinde Wiley: An Economy of Grace



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