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Monday, January 22, 2018

2018 Oscar Nominations - Predictions


Why wake up early Tuesday morning when you can get a good look at most of the noms now? WIthout, ahem, touting The Ten Buck Review's 83% accuracy rate too many times, the likely nominees are:

BEST PICTURE

Call Me by Your Name
Darkest Hour 
Dunkirk
I, Tonya 

Get Out 
Lady Bird 
The Florida Project 
The Post 
The Shape of Water 
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
 

Spoiler: A Fantastic Woman, which is building fantastic raves around voting time
Sorry: The Big Sick, comedies from summer don't usually make the list.



BEST DIRECTOR

Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird 
Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk
Jordan Peele, Get Out
Guillermo del Toro, The Shape of Water
 

Spoiler: Sean Baker, The Florida Project, Oscar may love you more than other groups
Sorry: Stephen Spielberg, The Post, too many newcomers to choose from



BEST ACTOR

Timothee Chalamet, Call Me by Your Name
Daniel Day-Lewis, Phantom Thread
James Franco, The Disaster Artist
Daniel Kaluuya, Get Out
Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour
 

Spoiler: Tom Hanks, The Post, you're so consistently good it's hard to notice but you could take Franco of Kaluuya's spot
Sorry: Denzel Washington, Roman J. Israel, Esq., it's not your year



BEST ACTRESS

Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water
Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
Margot Robbie, I, Tonya
Meryl Streep, The Post


Spoiler, Diane Kruger, In the Fade, her role is doing anything but
Sorry: Brooklynn Prince, The Florida Project, those five don't hve much room for you



BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Richard Jenkins, The Shape of Water
Christopher Plummer, All the Money in the World 
Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Michael Stuhlbarg, Call Me by Your Name

Spoiler: Woody Harrelson, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

Sorry: Armie Hammer, Call Me by Your Name, I'm betting on a surprise swap. Your sunny good looks might was lighter than Stuhlbarg's strong speech.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Laurie Metcalf, Lady Bird
Holly Hunter, The Big Sick
Mary J. Blige, Mudbound
Octavia Spencer, The Shape of Water

Spoiler: Kristen Scott Thomas, Darkest Hour, you shoulda been there in Octavia's spot

Sorry: Tiffany Haddish, Girls Trip, it's not an Oscar film

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Call Me by Your Name, James Ivory
Molly's Game, Aaron Sorkin 
Mudbound, Dee Rees and Virgil Williams 
The Disaster Artist, Scott Neustadter and Michael H. Weber 
Wonder Woman, Jason Fuchs, Allan Heinberg and Zack Snyder

Spoiler: Victoria & Abdul, Lee Hall, her highness' words could take out Wonder Woman
Sorry: Logan, Scott Frank, Michael Green and James Mangold, you shoulda been there



BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri, Martin McDonagh 
Lady Bird, Greta Gerwig 
Get Out, Jordan Peele
The Shape of Water, Guillermo del Toro and Vanessa Taylor 

The Big Sick, Emily V. Gordon and Kumail Nanjiani

Spoiler: The Post, Liz Hannah and Josh Singer,but I don't know what it could replace
Sorry: I, Tonya, Steven Rogers, thanks for trying

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

Coco 
The Breadwinner 
Loving Vincent 
The Boss Baby 
Despicable Me 3 
The Big Bad Fox and Other Tales BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE
City of Ghosts 
Jane 
Icarus 
Long Strange Trip 
Strong Island 

Spoiler: An Inconvenient Sequel: Truth to Power, a lot of people have seen it, but sequels are a tough sell — and it wasn't as good as the Oscar-winning original

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
A Fantastic Woman, Chile 
Foxtrot, Israel
In the Fade, Germany
Loveless, Russia 
The Square, Sweden 

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY 
Blade Runner 2049 
Darkest Hour 
Dunkirk 
Mudbound 
The Shape of Water 

BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Phantom Thread 
Beauty and the Beast 
Darkest Hour 
Murder on the Orient Express 
The Greatest Showman 

BEST FILM EDITING
Baby Driver 
Dunkirk 
I, Tonya 
The Shape of Water 
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING

Darkest Hour 
I, Tonya 
Wonder

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE
Darkest Hour 
Dunkirk
Phantom Thread 

The Post 
The Shape of Water 

BEST ORIGINAL SONG
"Evermore,” Beauty and The Beast, Performed by Dan Stevens
"Remember Me," Coco, Performed by Miguel & Natalia Lafourcade
"Stand Up for Something,” Marshall, Performed by Andra Day and Common
"The Mystery of Love," Call Me by Your Name, Performed by Sufjan Stevens
"This Is Me,” The Greatest Showman, Performed by Keala Settle

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Blade Runner 2049 

Beauty and the Beast
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk 

The Shape of Water

BEST SOUND EDITING
Baby Driver 
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk 
Star Wars: The Last Jedi 
The Shape of Water 

BEST SOUND MIXING
Blade Runner 2049 
Dunkirk 
Star Wars: The Last Jedi 
The Shape of Water 
Wonder Woman

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk 

Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2
Star Wars: The Last Jedi 
War for the Planet of the Apes

And the total tally will look something like this:
Shape, 11 nominations
Dunkirk, 9 nominations
Darkest Hour, 7 nominations
Three Billboards, 6 nominations
I, Tonya, 5 nominations
Lady Bird, 5 nominations 
Wonder Woman, 1 nominations

Good luck to all.



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