Golden Globe Predictions - Who will win on Sunday night?

A creature feature and a horror movie could win Best Picture? And James Franco wins too? Get out!

Predicted wins
The Shape of Water: 3
Get Out: 1
James Franco: 1
Dunkirk: 0

Those are some weirdo stats above, but historically, the Hollywood Foreign Press is kinda weird and all-over-the-place; Working Girl, Mrs. Doubtfire and The Hangover have actually won Best Motion Picture Comedy, and The Martian won it just two years ago, despite not being a comedy. But rest easy, The Ten Buck Review has an 82% correct prediction rate that could help you win your awards pool (or at least look really darn smart during the telecast). Here's what's gonna happen:




Best Picture – Drama:
Winner: The Shape Of Water
Spoiler: The Post
The well-crafted Shape was splashy enough with voters to edge out The Post. Plus, newspaper films don't make headlines with this group; Spotlight, which took the Oscar for Best Picture, lost to The Revenant at the Globes that same year (2015).

And a war film (Dunkirk) winning in this environment? Not only does love trump war this year, but there are 56 years of history saying it won't get the prize many think it will. No film with only three nominations has won Best Picture since The Guns of Navarone (1961).





Best Picture – Comedy or Musical:
Winner: Get Out
Spoiler: Lady Bird 

Although it's the safer bet, I think the critically-praised Lady Bird excels at too familiar territory to go the distance with a group that likes to surprise. The Hollywood Foreign Press might go all get out and choose to reward the most original story.
If the comedy decisions are too tough and split votes, those wacky voters might choose the only musical nominated, which would make a nice bookshelf story. The Greatest Showman won Best Picture Drama in 1952, Golden Globes second year.





Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Drama:
Winner: Timothée Chalamet, Call Me By Your Name
Spoiler: Gary Oldman, Darkest Hour

It’s seems like a good year for anyone who plays Churchill. Oldman appears to be a perceived lock, which sets up a potential surprise star-making moment: Chalamet’s breakthrough, tearful performances in Call Me By Your Name and Lady Bird would deliver a great TV moment. Picture the peachy newcomer besting the heavily-decorated Oldman, Denzel, Hanks and Day-Lewis. It doesn't help that Globes love newcomers and old Oldman claimed the second-rate Golden Globes are "bent" (2012).




Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Drama:
Winner: Frances McDormand, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
Spoiler: Sally Hawkins, The Shape of Water

The only person who could beat the loud artistry of McDormand is the quiet artistry of Sally Hawkins. "Loud" wins at the Globes, unless they vote Streep just to see what she'd have to say at the podium.




Best Performance by an Actor in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy:
Winner: James Franco, The Disaster Artist
Spoiler: Daniel Kaluuva, Get Out

Franco is seriously the ranking lead in the Comedy category, but I think he had too much fun on this film, setting up a tighter race than most predict. Daniel Kalluva is the other standout, and that vote is the HFP’s best bet for a diversity of winners.




Best Performance by an Actress in a Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy:
Winner: Saoirse Ronan, Lady Bird
Spoiler: Margot Robbie, I, Tonya

It's a close one. Both are the Golden Globe ideal and voters would love to party with either afterwards. In a close race, I'd look at the overall nominations. It seems they have awarded Lady Bird a little more than I, Tonya, which gets the silver.





Best Performance by an Actor in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture:
Winner: Willem Dafoe, The Florida Project
Upset: Sam Rockwell, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing Missouri
The toughest category of the bunch should come down to Dafoe versus Rockwell in two of the best performances of the year. Unfortunately for Rockwell, Dafoe's character is the nicest of the two.

Christopher Plummer could upset as a statement vote against the Weinstein-Spacey era. It's the type of Hollywood lore that voters want to take note of. 

This is the race to watch.




Best Performance by an Actress in a Supporting Role in a Motion Picture:
Winner: Allison Janney, I, Tonya
Spoiler: Larie Metcalf, Lady Bird

The Best Actress (Comedy or Musical) and Best Supporting Actress races are both a close race with the mother/daughter teams in these two films. It's too close to call with TV and movie vets Janney and Metcalf. I think the more showy performance takes it.



Best Director – Motion Picture:
Winner: Guillermo Del Toro, The Shape Of Water
Spoiler: Christopher Nolan, Dunkirk

Despite all the Christopher Nolan talk this past summer, Del Toro has this one locked.




Best Screenplay – Motion Picture:
Winner: Greta Gerwig, Lady Bird
Upset: Martin McDonagh, Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri

McDonagh is the front runner but I think reverse discrimination could come into play in a #metoo year and voters who expected Gerwig to be in the top 5 directors should give her the ege. Plus, who doesn’t want to see Greta’s acceptance speech? It should be the best of the night. (Franco should easilily take "weirdest speech.")

Best Original Score – Motion Picture: 
Winner: The Shape Of Water
Upset: Dunkirk

In a shocker to many, I predict WWII awards-bait Dunkirk will go home without any wins.

Best Original Song – Motion Picture 
Winner: "Remember Me," Coco 
Upset: "This is Me," The Greatest Showman

The winning team behind La La Land and this years Showman could repeat, but their star faded during the TV musical production of A Christmas Story in December. I bet the Hollywood Foreign Press will be loco for internationally-themed songs of Coco.



Best Motion Picture – Foreign Language
Winner: The Square
Spoiler: First They Killed My Father

Two favorites, but The Square is the talk in all circles this year, and should win.




Best Animated Film:
Winner: Coco
Spoiler: The Breadwinner

The team behind Coco should prepare their speech early.