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Monday, January 23, 2017

Academy Award Nominees - Predictions for 2017

Hey girl, take these nomination predictions to Vegas. Tomorrow, La La Land could tie Titanic and All Above Eve's top noms with fourteen, but I predict thirteen — and Moonlight will emerge as the prime underdog with 7 key noms. Here's what's gonna happen in each category:

Best Picture
Hacksaw Ridge
Hell or High Water
Hidden Figures
La La Land
Manchester by the Sea

Spoilers: I’m predicting eight (The H’s, L’s and M’s). If it goes to nine or ten, you’ll find Fences and I, Daniel Blake, Loving or Silence.

Best Director
Damien Chazelle, La La Land
Garth Davis, Lion
Barry Jenkins, Moonlight
Kenneth Lonergan, Manchester by the Sea

Dennis Villeneuve, Arrival

Spoiler: No rival awards have a stronger track record of predicting nominees than the Directors Guild of America (DGA) so this list is a solid bet. If there's a surprise, take out first-timer Davis and bet on Ken Loach, I, Daniel Blake (Recipient of BAFTA nom and Cannes' Palme d'Or) or  eight-time nomineed Martin Scorsese for Silence.

Best Actor
Casey Affleck, Manchester by the Sea
Andrew Garfield, Hacksaw Ridge
Ryan Gosling, La La Land
Viggo Mortensen, Captain Fantastic
Denzel Washington, Fences

Spoiler: Tom Hanks, Sully or Joel Egerton, Loving or Michael Keaton, Founder

Best Actress
Amy Adams, Arrival
Isabelle Huppert, Elle
Natalie Portman, Jackie
Emma Stone, La La Land
Meryl Streep, Florence Foster Jenkins

Spoiler: Annette Bening, 20th Century Women or Ruth Nega, Loving

Best Supporting Actor
Mahershala Ali, Moonlight
Jeff Bridges, Hell or High Water
Dev Patel, Lion
Lucas Hedges, Manchester by the Sea
Aaron Taylor-Johnson, Nocturnal Animals

Spoiler: Kevin Costner, Hidden Figures or anyone from Florence Foster Jenkins

Best Supporting Actress
Viola Davis, Fences
Naomi Harris, Moonlight
Nicole Kidman, Lion
Janelle Monae, Hidden Figures
Michelle Williams, Manchester by the Sea

Spoiler: Octavia Spencer Hidden Figures, Greta Gerwig, 20th Century Women

Best Adapted Screenplay
Hacksaw Ridge
Nocturnal Animals 

Spoiler: Hidden Figures

Best Original Screenplay
Captain Fantastic 
Hell or High Water 
La La Land 
The Lobster 
Manchester by the Sea 

Spoiler: 20th Century Women

Best Animated Feature
Kubo and the Two Strings
My Life As a Zucchini 

Spoiler: Finding Dory 

Best Documentary

Fire at Sea 
I Am Not Your Negro
Life, Animated
O.J.: Made in America 

Spoiler: 13th, Weiter

Best Cinematography
Arrival (Bradford Young)
Hell or High Water (Giles Nuttgens)
La La Land (Linus Sandgren)
Lion (Grieg Fraser)
Moonlight (James Laxton)

Spoiler: Nocturnal Animals (Seamus McGarvey) 

Best Costume Design
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them 
Florence Foster Jenkins 
La La Land 

Spoiler: Period pieces traditionally have an edge in this category so The Dressmaker or Fences could appear.

Best Makeup and Hairstyling
Florence Foster Jenkins
Star Trek Beyond

Spoiler: The Dressmaker

Best Film Editing
La La Land 
Manchester by the Sea 
O.J.: Made in America 

Spoiler: Hacksaw Ridge, Deadpool 

Best Original Score
La La Land 
Nocturnal Animals 

Spoiler: Silence and Arrival were disqualified, but we may see Hacksaw Ridge or John WIlliams' The BFG in this category.

Best Song
"City of Stars," La La Land
"How Far I'll Go
,"  Moana
," La La Land
"Dancing with Your Shadow
,"  Po
"Can’t Stop the Feeling!

Spoiler: Maybe "Running" from Hidden Figures, but I'd like to see "Drive It Like You Stole It," Sing Street

Best Production Design

Doctor Strange
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
The Jungle Book
La La Land

Spoiler: All of above were chosen by the Art Directors Guild Production Design Awards. So did Jackie and Fences and Hacksaw Ridge and Rogue One. If someone else appeared, I'd bet on The Handmaiden

Best Sound Editing

Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Hacksaw Ridge
La La Land

Spoiler: Deepwater Horizon Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Best Sound Mixing
La La Land
Hacksaw Ridge
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
Deepwater Horizon

Spoiler: Deadpool, Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Best Visual Effects

Doctor Strange
Fantastic Beasts and Where to Find Them
The Jungle Book
Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

Spoiler: Kubo and the Two Strings is an animated film, but could sneak in here if enough people saw it.

Best Animated Short
Happy End

The Head Vanishes
Inner Workings
Once Upon a Line

Spoiler: Borrowed Time

Best Live Action Short
Nocturne In Black

The Way of Tea
The rifle, the Jackal, the Wold and the BOy

Spoiler: Bon Voyage

Best Documentary Short

Close Ties
ExtremisJoe’s Violin
The White Helmets

Spoiler: Watani: My Homeland

Best Foreign Film
A Man Called Ove (Sweden)

Land of Mine (Denmark)
My Life As a Zucchini (Switzerland)
The Salesman (Iran)
Toni Erdmann (Germany)

Spoiler: The King's Choice (Norway)

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